Tuesday, 2 January 2007

Wasting Customers Time

Have you ever thought of sending an invoice to companies you have bought things from, for the amount of your time they caused you to waste trying to get their product or service to work properly? If you were to add up all this wasted time over the year and change it at your daily rate you would be owed a considerable sum! More important if many people began to do this it might prompt these providers to fundamentally rethink how they design their products and how they serve their customers. 

Think also what you would do if your customers started doing this to you, particularly if you could see that their wasted time is mirrored in wasted time (and hence additional unnecessary cost) in your organisation. In most cases we simply can not see this potential win-win opportunity, preferring a quick and cheaper (possibly outsourced) fix we can forget about. Which is fine until your competitor sees how to turn this opportunity to their advantage. 

Two very simple examples illustrate the point, but I am sure you can think of many others that you have experienced recently. First, try changing the name on a business bank account. This sounds incredibly simple. But after receiving three letters followed by four new but unusable cheque and paying-in books all with the right name on the cover and the wrong name on the cheques and you wonder whether this organisation can really be trusted to look after your money! 

Almost certainly this is the result of a broken process rather than incompetent staff. Try to fix the problem in person the next time you visit the local branch and all they can suggest is that you waste even more of your time (and money) by sending the whole lot back with a letter of complaint! You can bet that no one is going to find the root cause of this probably often repeated error so that it stops happening. 

This is not surprising when you realise that the right first time on time capability of most office processes as opposed to production processes is incredibly low, often between 10 and 30%. Yet this kind of problem happens all the time within and between businesses. How much of your and your customers’ and your suppliers’ time is spent on invoice reconciliation? 

Second, the delight in getting a new PDA with all the latest functionality turns sour when you give up after two frustrating hours trying to get the software to synchronise with your other computers. You feel a bit better when the technical expert you call in (and pay for) takes a further three hours before finally getting it to work. Although it often feels like it, I am sure I am not alone in suffering these problems. 

Which is staggering, when you think how many thousands of unnecessary hours must be being wasted installing the thousands of PDAs and other devices being sold every week. The problem here is that the feedback loop from the installation problem back to the designers does not work. Each expert tries to fix the problem and move on, carrying their knowledge with them till they come across this problem again. We have all experienced help lines that don’t help. In many cases they are not even part of the problem solving loop back to product development. 

Just as you can tell a great deal about an organisation and its management by observing what goes on the shop floor, you can also learn a great deal about how they think about their customers from observing the detail of your experience of using them. As customers we know there is little we can do to fix these problems apart from complaining. So we learn to quickly forget all the problems we encounter as we get on with managing our lives. 

However for an organisation seeking to improve customer service and at the same time reduce its cost to serve this information is gold dust. Just think what you could do if you could get direct feedback from every problem from every customer. You could turn each of their problems into a Kaizen opportunity in your organisation. 

Yours sincerely
Professor Daniel T Jones

Tuesday, 5 December 2006

Asking Questions

It is always refreshing going to the gemba – actually walking a value stream all the way through an organization. This is where I learn to collect the questions to think about next. There is no doubt in my mind that all managers should walk their value streams as frequently as possible. By asking the right questions you can quickly discover almost all the things that need to be done. And because everything ends up on the shop floor it also reveals a lot about how management actually thinks. After all the shop floor is a reflection of management!

In one company making good progress with lean, an operator was showing me his daily production instructions. We discussed the problems that were holding him up that day. I then asked how often he was able to complete his daily plan. Without hesitation he replied - never! So what do they do then? They just change tomorrow’s plan! This was very revealing to the senior manager accompanying me, who was the proud architect of the central planning system that was “optimising” production in each operation in each of their plants. This prompted a very interesting discussion when we met the management team later that day. 

In another company I followed a top manager on a whirlwind tour to rally the troops. Accompanied by an army of staff he offered the shop floor team all the assistance they needed to accomplish their work, before he ran off to his next appointment. They looked baffled, because it was clear no one had told him they did not actually have enough work to do – the problem lay elsewhere. They were held up waiting for engineering drawings to arrive and for suppliers to deliver the right parts. Other departments were responsible for sorting out these problems.  

In truth these events could have happened in most of our organizations, and not just in manufacturing. The reality is that as soon you begin asking the five whys across departments the trail goes cold. Because no one is responsible for the value stream as it flows through the organization. Once someone is appointed to be the value stream manager the first thing they need to do is to ask lots of questions. 

One place to start asking questions is with planning or scheduling. Most planners were trained on simulations which assume that if only the world would behave according to the plan things would work out as they should do. To them improving the plan is all about collecting more data, improving data accuracy, getting better forecasts etc. When problems occur they find it difficult to acknowledge the extra volatility their frequent changes to the plan create – which usually make the situation worse and not better.

Toyota starts from a completely different assumption. They assume that even the best processes will continually be subject to frequent interruptions. So they pay a lot of attention to tracking progress in real time and to designing lean response processes to get back on track as quickly as possible – so plans are actually met every day! They also take responsibility for actively leveling and filtering out the noise in orders being passed to operations, in order to create as much stability for them as possible.

And they then go to work on the problems – using the common scientific approach to problem solving through root cause analysis and experimentation, which every manager and engineer learns from the day they join the company. So the second place to ask questions is in operations itself. What are the most frequent causes of interruption in the value stream and is there a problem solving capability ready to solve them? It is staggering how much attention Toyota continues to place on problem solving and on improving the basic stability (right first time on time capability and equipment availability) in every activity.

The third place to ask questions is in the other functions like purchasing, marketing and sales, human resources and engineering. For instance I continue to be amazed how many firms are reluctant to take full responsibility for reconfiguring their supply base and synchronising the operations of their suppliers with their own. Almost certainly they have too many suppliers, who are usually too far away to respond quickly enough. Compressing their end-to-end value streams could remove layers of cost while also minimising its impact on the environment. 

Likewise I am also surprised how many firms are reluctant to challenge their existing distribution channels. Some firms are learning that selling direct to end customers through the web generates additional sales, rather than cannibalising existing channels. They are also learning that listening to customers can show how to eliminate unnecessary costs while improving customer service. Once you begin a win-win dialogue with customers who you know by name the opportunities for improvement are endless. Just watch what happens when Tesco surprises the world with it launches its new convenience retailing format in California early next year.

So the question to think about is who is asking the right questions about how to improve each value stream in your organization? 

I wish you a relaxing Christmas break.

Yours sincerely
Professor Daniel T Jones

Tuesday, 7 November 2006

Changing Reasons for Going Lean

Two questions from very different perspectives illustrate how the reasons for going lean are changing. First from Denmark, where a few years ago they were very worried about losing manufacturing jobs to low wage countries to the east. Since then Dansk Industri, the national industry association has run one of the most successful campaigns I have seen to encourage their members to go lean. As a result they are not just retaining manufacturing jobs in Denmark, but they are also running out of people to fill manufacturing jobs! At the same time they liberalised their labour market and unemployment is now very low, even amongst young people.

So their question was “how can we use lean to enable our existing employees to produce two or three times as much in the future?” As population ages and declines in many European countries, as well as in Russia and Japan, this question will be asked more frequently. We are going to need to find ways to produce the goods and deliver the services with less people, or to increase immigration. To achieve this means going beyond streamlining today’s processes and fundamentally redesigning tomorrow’s products, production processes and supply chains.

The second question was from a group of very senior managers from China. They are very enthusiastic to embrace lean, and could see how lean can help make locally produced goods more affordable to local consumers. But they realise that to meet the growing economic aspirations of their citizens they will have to do so in ways that require fewer resources and that create less environmental pollution and greenhouse gasses. So they were interested in “how can they use lean to save resources and avoid pollution?” In other words, how can lean help us also become green?

Lean thinkers are used to tracking the time and effort as a product moves through an organisation and to distinguishing the few minutes it takes to create the value customers are paying for from the month or more that it spends in the organisation. Compressing throughput time from several months to a few days clearly requires far less space and energy. It almost certainly also uses less materials and produces less scrap and obsolescent stock. The ability to produce in line with demand also reduces the inventories (and hence storage space and energy costs) in the pipeline all the way to the end consumer.

But the really significant gains come from compressing supply chains by relocating value creating steps closer together, and where possible also closer to customers. Most organisations are unaware that their products take between three months to a year or more to travel through their current supply chains, often going back and forth across the globe before reaching the customer. Although current wage cost differentials and low transport costs encourage this trend, if we look at total supply chain costs much of this does not make economic sense, as we described in Lean Solutions.

If we also start tracking the energy and emissions from all the processing, storage and transportation steps across supply chains and convert them into units of CO2 per product we will also be able to see the environmental footprint of each end-to-end supply chain, We know from earlier work that the most polluting part of the supply chain for consumer goods is the trip to the supermarket and then storing the goods in our refrigerators and freezers at home until we eat them. But it also shows the choices we will increasingly have to make between for instance air freighting more and more products across the world or enabling people to fly across the world.

Beyond this the next step is to fundamentally rethink the product. A few weeks ago, tucked away inside the Financial Times I noticed a very interesting quote from the R&D Director of Toyota. He announced that their third generation hybrid engine to be launched in three years time would be “half, the size, half the weight and half the cost” of the current generation engine in the Prius. With characteristic understatement he said he thought a lot of people “might be quite surprised at this”.

They should not have been – Toyota began their green technology quest back in 1990 when Eiji Toyoda, the post war genius who built the post war Toyota, questioned whether it was a good idea for Toyota to keep making cars with conventional technology. At each stage Toyota has clearly announced their green intentions in their Annual Report – which everyone ignores - and then fulfilled them! Will the next generation diesel engine make such a dramatic leap in resource use and cost? What preparations are your organisations making to meet the green challenges of the future?

Yours sincerely
Professor Daniel T Jones

Thursday, 12 October 2006

Learning to Act

“Learning to See” was the right title for the workbook that introduced the world to value stream mapping. For the first time it taught the world a way to see how to turn a set of separately managed activities into a lean process, through which work could flow with the least possible interruptions. It opened people’s eyes to literally hundreds of opportunities for improvement. As a result the world is full of current state maps and lean activities.

But walking round many organisations doing lean it is still rare to see evidence of well structured procedures to focus people on doing the right things. Often you are taken to see a wall with charts tracking progress over recent months. If that is all you see you know that this is not driving activities on the shop floor and is there simply to impress visiting dignitaries from HQ or outsiders. If you can’t see what needs to be done day by day or hour by hour then neither can employees. 

So to be able to do the right things we need to develop ways in which people can learn not just to see what is happening but also to learn to see what needs to be done. The way to do this is to make everything as visual as possible. Here is my list of the things I would like to be able to see walking round a good lean operation.

I would like to be able to see the pattern of demand for key products or services at the point of use or at the point of sale and to compare this with the pattern of incoming orders received and with the production and shipping instructions issued to the shop floor. This will show everyone the gap between real demand and the volatility created by the way orders are passed on to the plant. It will also show whether the planning systems are levelling orders or creating even more variability in the work to be done. This focuses attention on speeding up the information flow, beginning to align production capabilities with the rate and pattern of demand and on creating the stability essential for continuous improvement. 

Then I want to be able to see the work to be done at every point in the process. Clearing the decks with a good 5S programme is a good start, provided it is audited frequently. But more important is to see the documentation of standard work at every operation, standard maintenance schedules on each piece of equipment and standard material replenishment rules for all supplies, as well as clear evidence that they are being followed by everyone.

Next is good visual management of planned and actual progress at frequent intervals during the shift using some form of progress control charts (or Andon boards). These should where possible be filled in by the team leader and not hidden on a computer. And there should be clear evidence that team leaders and supervisors respond quickly to any slippage, to get back on track as soon as possible. At the side of these charts I would expect to see a record of every problem that occurred during the shift, together with evidence that these were being tracked and resolved using a common problem solving process. 

Absolutely essential is a current and future state map of the value stream. This needs to be tied to an action plan which shows the steps being taken to get to the future state, together with an implementation plan that is regularly audited by management. This might be accompanied by a map of the whole end-to-end value stream showing current performance and progress towards improvement targets in every organisation across this value stream. Modern communications should make it possible to update this information very frequently. 

Finally I look for a clear statement of the high level objectives of the organisation and a deployment mechanism to make sure every improvement action is aligned and supports the desired direction. 

Making everything visual is not always easy. Some senior managers are used to hiding much of this information because knowledge is power. Others see it as undermining the authority of the senior manager or expert who is expected to know all the answers. Good lean management recognises that making progress and problems visible is the most powerful way of engaging every employee in improving the performance of the organisation. 

Yours sincerely
Professor Daniel T Jones

Wednesday, 13 September 2006

Value Stream Management

Returning from the summer break is the right time to take a fresh look at your lean initiatives. Are they being led by the right people and are they realising the true potential of lean in your organisation, and up and down your value streams? There is still a lot of confusion about what value stream management really involves.

Most organisations have recognised that implementing lean on the shop floor or in a department like finance is the responsibility of the line management in that department. They need support from a lean promotion office, but must do the hard work themselves for it to stick, because it involves changing the thinking about how employees work together as much as moving things around. 

But end-to-end value streams almost always cross several departments and several organisations on their way to the end customer. Yet it is still rare to find a value stream manager responsible for creating a value stream that flows out of a set of separately managed activities, or someone responsible for sustaining and improving the flow thereafter. Yet we know that if no one is responsible nothing actually happens. 

The one place you may actually find such a person is leading a project to design a next generation product. In Toyota this is the job of the Chief Engineer. They are responsible for the success of their product family through several product generations and report through the Office of Chief Engineers to the top of the company. Interestingly they have few staff reporting directly to them. Most of the staff report to their function or department heads. So the Chief Engineer must articulate a case for the resources necessary to get the next product designed from all these department heads, including marketing, purchasing and production etc. 

But, however radical the design leap being attempted, the task is essentially one of managing a new variant through an existing development system. Where you see a more radical leap is when Toyota is designing a completely new product line – like the original Lexus, the first hybrid Prius or the low cost vehicle for developing countries. Here you see a much bigger activity designing the new vehicle and the entire production system to build it (for several product generations over a couple of decades). This redesign activity reaches back up each supply chain to raw materials, through as many as 26 different operations. It amazes me that many organisations still do not accept the need to take responsibility for designing their supply base in this way. 

When it comes to trying to create a value stream that flows through several different departments for the first time then we need a value stream project leader to lead the charge. Like the Chief Engineer they do not need a big staff reporting to them. They have to make the case for the involvement and resources from all the departments involved and they have to report to and get the backing of top management to make the necessary radical changes. 

The next question is who leads and improves this value stream once it has been created? What knits together a sequence of activities across a value stream? Not the physical flow – this is an outcome of a previous process – but the information flow coming back from the customer to the pacemaker process. So the answer is that the management of existing value streams is actually the responsibility of a lean planning and scheduling function, like the Production Control and Logistics Department at Toyota. Not surprisingly PC&L is at the heart of making the Toyota Production System work, yet less attention has been paid to how it actually operates than to physical operations. 

Value stream management of an existing value stream starts with levelling the flow of orders coming from the customer – acting as a harbour wall to dampen rather than amplify order signals being passed upstream. Then it involves deciding where the pacemaker should be for both the products made to replenishment pull and for the build-to-order products made to sequential pull. Then it is about releasing small quantities of orders frequently to establish a common rhythm across the value stream so products flow quickly and activities come to match the rate and pattern of demand as closely as possible.

Wherever we turn the weak link in our lean activities is the way variability in the information flow is amplified and passed upstream. As long as this is not addressed it will be difficult to create the stability necessary to enable products or patients to flow. Maybe it is time to take a fresh look at the leadership of your value stream redesign activities and at how your planning and scheduling department will manage your value streams on an ongoing basis. 

Yours sincerely
Professor Daniel T Jones

Tuesday, 1 August 2006

Right-sized Technologies

I have always thought that lean is much more than improving the efficiency of existing equipment, factories, supply chains, hospitals and service facilities. Lean teaches us to learn to see and improve the processes we are responsible for. It also challenges us to look up and out and cooperate with others to streamline the whole process from end to end, often across several organisations. 

But ultimately lean is about re-examining the end product or service being delivered to customers. Does it really meet their needs at an acceptable cost without wasting their time? And is it sustainable and can it continue to generate an adequate return on investment? If we are honest we would have to conclude that in many cases it does not – we are actually delivering the wrong product through the wrong facilities in the wrong place using the wrong equipment. Our business model is actually a relic of the era of mass production and mass consumption.  

Recognising this dilemma does not solve it! One of the key constraints may be the technology – which is still being designed by engineers resolutely focused on developing the next bigger, all-singing all-dancing piece of equipment. Other constraints may be the drag of existing assets and careers tied to the existing business model. 

However lean engineers are always thinking about developing right-sized tools and lean entrepreneurs are always thinking about how these might be used in new business models that ultimately replace existing providers. We can see similar opportunities in the three great growth industries of our time - transportation, communications and healthcare. 

One of the examples readers remember from Lean Thinking is the holiday flight to Crete, which took 13 hours door to door for 7 hours of actual travel time. Very little has changed about the process of flying on holiday in the last decade – except you can do it more often, from more places, to more destinations and for a lot less money. You just squeeze your knees between the seats, switch off with a good book and look forward to getting there.

Things have not got much better when we travel on business. In some cases they have got worse – it is a nightmare trying to schedule convenient connections between medium sized cities in Europe - and a growing hassle connecting through massive hub airports. I just spent five days getting up before the crack of dawn and taking two flights via hubs, in order to do a day’s work. Smaller jets carrying business travellers are now relegated to distant parking stands and often, after two bus trips and fighting my way through the terminal, I end up boarding the plane next to one I just left! In an exceptionally crazy 70 hour week I did 23 hours of valuable work – and then spent the weekend recovering my sanity!

But help is on the way. Video conferencing is getting better all the time – making some trips unnecessary. But equally the advent of the new very light jets promises to usher in a new era for the business traveller. In Lean Solutions we showed how point-to-point on-demand air taxi operations from local airports could save us all a lot of time and hassle. The Eclipse, the Hondajet and others from Cessna and Embrair are just the beginning of the story. Building and financing a viable business model and the necessary air traffic infrastructure come next. However the impact on the existing airlines and airport operators is likely to be profound. 

This is a similar story to what has happened in communications – the PC replaced the mainframe and mobile operators are now challenging old telecom monopolies. I think we are on the threshold of a similar revolution in healthcare delivery. 

There is a growing recognition that bringing diagnosis and treatment closer to patients rather than centralising them in big general hospitals will improve outcomes for many while saving time and cost. Health entrepreneurs and even retailers are thinking about new healthcare business models. This in turn depends on equipment providers developing smart, right-sized diagnostic and treatment equipment that can be used for self-diagnosis in the home or in local treatment centres. Existing equipment suppliers still seem wedded to bigger machines. Who is going to provide the right-sized technologies to make this happen? 

Yours sincerely
Professor Daniel T Jones

Tuesday, 13 June 2006

Too Much Transparency

We are all naturally in favour of greater transparency. We think that if everyone could see the progress of production and levels of stock in the warehouse, as well as shipments and stocks in every warehouse along the supply chain, we should all be better off. We should be able to adjust our actions to changes elsewhere in real time. Add to this the Finance Director’s dream of being able to control everything from a central point and you have the promise of RFID – radio tags on every product telling you where they are at any time. 

But this dream could so easily turn into a nightmare. Just think what happens now. You have plenty of stock in your finished goods warehouse and yet you are always short of the one product the customer desperately needs. So you get on the phone to get production to change their plan and make some of this product in a hurry. Production time and efficiency is lost because you change the plan. People have to scurry round to chase materials and the production of other products is delayed. As a result you are short of those products and the cycle begins all over again. 

In this situation it is easy to blame fickle customers for changing their minds. However there is a more insidious form of variation in orders that is encouraged by greater transparency. If your planners have visibility of all the stock in your finished goods warehouse what is their natural reaction to a run of demand for one product? They change their plan to try to restore stock levels, even if it does not breach the lower limit for stock of this product. 

There is a natural human desire to try to adjust things to the average, even though the point of the warehouse is to absorb variations in demand so these waves do not flow upstream. Why do they do this? Because experience tells them that they never know exactly when production will make another batch of this product – it may not happen for another month or more if the plan gets changed and the next production run gets rescheduled, as it almost certainly will. So better change the plan now rather than wait until you are out of stock. 

Transparency will not actually solve this situation, and could make it a lot worse. Part of the answer is to set the upper and lower stock levels to absorb the variation in demand and stick to them, so these fluctuations are not passed upstream. The other answer is to move away from batch thinking in planning and production and begin to relate the rhythm of production more closely to demand, moving from producing every product once a month to twice a month, and then to every week and maybe twice a week and eventually every day. 

Levelled orders creates the stability that is necessary to start the traditional lean journey in production – improving the capability and availability of each step so you can link them to create flow and then accelerate the rate of flow by improving the frequency. The end result is that production can actually make every product frequently and reliably.

But this is not the end of the story. Sorting out production alone is not enough – you must also sort out your planning logic and behaviour. Just as you eliminate big batches in production you must no longer batch information – it needs to be passed on without manipulation and released to production in small batches frequently. This probably means no longer using your MRP system for production and shipping instructions.

But it probably also means not letting your planners see the stock levels in the inished goods warehouse! We recently witnessed just such a situation – where lanners were only alerted when stock levels breached the upper or lower limit. Even then they learnt not to react too quickly, as they knew that spikes and troughs in demand have a habit of going into reverse very quickly and production is anyhow going to replenish that product in the next period. Doing nothing proved to be the best course of action and eliminated most of the plan changes. 

Imagine this story repeated at many points up the supply chain. Rapid replenishment turns out to be much more important in improving supply chain efficiency than transparency. 

Yours sincerely
Professor Daniel T Jones